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2009-11-20

Model Predictions

Model East Carolina Pirates Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.0% 95.0% - โœ“
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.5 โœ“ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +39 (105-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Young 33 5-10 1-5 4-5 1 4 2 0 12 15 0 -
D. Morrow 33 2-3 0-0 3-6 6 3 1 0 4 7 10 -
J. Abrams 28 3-7 0-3 2-4 2 0 1 0 2 8 2 -
C. Wynn 26 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 6 7 -
J. Sherrod 25 3-5 2-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 5 12 4 -
C. Turner 18 3-5 3-5 2-4 2 0 1 0 4 11 5 -
D. Joyner 18 0-2 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
E. Straughn 10 0-2 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
C. Gaines 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
G. Sargent 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Ellison 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hopson 23 10-15 4-5 1-1 2 1 2 0 2 25 13 -
T. Smith 23 5-7 0-0 3-4 1 4 4 0 1 13 14 -
J.P. Prince 22 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 1 5 -
B. Maze 21 5-10 1-4 4-4 1 3 2 0 1 15 10 -
W. Chism 19 3-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 3 0 2 7 6 -
S. McBee 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 4 -
M. Goins 17 4-8 1-3 1-1 0 5 0 0 0 10 7 -
C. Tatum 17 5-7 2-4 2-2 2 3 4 0 2 14 14 -
K. Hall 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
B. Williams 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
R. Woolridge 8 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
S. Pearl 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hubert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter