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2009-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 4.8% 95.2% +19.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.5 โœ“ (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +3 (79-76). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Mullery 37 6-7 0-0 4-5 3 2 3 1 5 16 13 -
Peter Sullivan 35 4-10 3-5 6-6 3 1 0 0 1 17 10 -
Adrian Williams 30 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 3 4 -
Steve Gruber 26 3-4 0-0 8-10 5 2 0 0 5 14 12 -
Andrew McCarthy 19 5-9 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 2 11 8 -
Tucker Halpern 19 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 10 10 -
Matt Sullivan 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 -1 -
Jean Harris 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Chris Taylor 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Garrett Leffelman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Kennedy 28 5-8 0-3 5-5 2 3 1 0 1 15 12 -
Dwight Hardy 26 6-11 4-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 16 8 -
Sean Evans 24 3-8 0-0 8-10 9 0 3 0 0 14 18 -
Malik Boothe 23 3-10 0-2 4-4 7 2 3 0 3 10 9 -
Paris Horne 22 2-6 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 2 2 5 1 -
Justin Brownlee 16 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 3 2 1 9 8 -
Quincy Roberts 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Malik Stith 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
Justin Burrell 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Omari Lawrence 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
Dele Coker 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter