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2009-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Seattle U Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% +6.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +1.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +1 (85-84). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 33 8-13 2-4 6-6 10 0 1 0 6 24 16 -
Greg Smith * 33 10-13 0-0 4-5 10 1 0 0 0 24 22 -
Mike Ladd * 32 1-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Sylvester Seay * 29 6-13 2-6 1-4 4 3 1 1 1 15 10 -
Brandon Sperling * 26 0-2 0-0 4-6 2 1 1 0 3 4 3 -
Steven Shepp 28 3-5 1-2 6-7 1 8 2 1 8 13 12 -
Jerry Brown 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nedeljko Golubovic 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Garrett Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charles Garcia * 37 5-12 1-2 10-18 12 3 1 2 5 21 22 -
Cervante Burrell * 31 6-10 1-1 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 16 14 -
Mike Boxley * 28 5-5 2-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 5 14 10 -
Aaron Broussard * 27 6-11 3-4 1-4 4 1 3 0 1 16 12 -
Gavin Gilmore * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 -
Chris Gweth 29 5-14 1-5 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 12 1 -
Garrett Lever 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Ricky Berry 10 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Alex Jones 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Taylor Olson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter