Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 34 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 3-7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Wright | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson | 24 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 23 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| L. Warren | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | - |
| P. Williams | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Perry | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Searcy | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Benson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. King | 31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Fisher | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Sutton | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Stokes | 30 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| S. Reynolds | 29 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Pena | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Cheek | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| I. Armwood | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Wayns | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter