Model Predictions
| Model | Syracuse Orange | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -16 (71-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Johnson | 39 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| A. Rautins | 34 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 18 | - |
| A. Onuaku | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| K. Joseph | 30 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Jardine | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Triche | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Jackson | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginyard | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| E. Davis | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Drew II | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| W. Graves | 18 | 2-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Zeller | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Strickland | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Wear | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Wear | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Henson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Watts | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. McDonald | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter