Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bastfield | 37 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Barnett | 37 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 36 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | - |
| I. Salter | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Lo | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Dressler | 13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Freelove | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Rohner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Rodriguez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Shunnar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| D. Summers | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Lucas | 28 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Roe | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| C. Allen | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Lucious | 23 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Nix | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Herzog | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sherman | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Crandell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter