Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | +15.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +28 (71-43). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Curtis | 38 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Wells | 30 | 4-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -6 | - |
| A. Diouf | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Flores | 27 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darren White | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Louis | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Thornton | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Andrey Semenov | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Parker | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alvin Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Knight | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.J. Jenkins | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Danero Thomas | 23 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| I. Aska | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. McClain | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. Poole | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Easley | 20 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Isacc Miles | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Long | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Daniel | 9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| G. Fotso | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Wilson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter