Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +22 (80-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vogler | 33 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Hazzard | 33 | 2-13 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| R. Delk | 33 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| V. Taylor | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Macon | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Patsatsia | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Toombs | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Greenwood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Walker | 34 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Boynton | 32 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| D. Werner | 30 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Tyus | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Parsons | 28 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| V. Macklin | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Shipman | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Murphy | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Kadji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Tishman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. McClanahan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Fricke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter