Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | St. Francis (PA) Red Flash | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash -11 (77-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gruner | 33 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Kari | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Willen | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Mintz | 28 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | - |
| J. Mower | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Benbow | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Koltun | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Wheeler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Orchowski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Giese | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Delaney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.D. Pelham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Petkovich | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Latimer | 36 | 9-11 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Sweetney | 33 | 10-14 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| S. Orandi | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Hoffman | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Ervin | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| U. Shannon | 17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| W. Felder | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Peters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Fowler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. DeVane | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter