Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 33 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Drew II | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6-10 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| W. Graves | 25 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| E. Davis | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Zeller | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Strickland | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Wear | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Wear | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Henson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Watts | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Diebler | 39 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| E. Turner | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 16 | - |
| D. Lighty | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| W. Buford | 31 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| D. Lauderdale | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| K. Madsen | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Hill | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Simmons | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 0 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Lavender | 0 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| B. Johnson | 0 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Hill | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Schulze | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
* = starter