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2009-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 32 2-8 0-2 3-5 3 0 2 0 6 7 -2 -
L. Warren 28 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 4 1 1 1 5 10 -
C. Johnson 28 7-13 4-8 1-2 7 1 3 0 2 19 15 -
P. Williams 23 4-9 1-4 4-4 1 3 2 0 1 13 9 -
M. Johnson 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 0 -7 -
K. Huelsman 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 2 2 8 -
D. Searcy 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
M. Perry 14 1-4 0-3 1-2 0 2 0 0 4 3 -3 -
L. Fabrizius 7 4-7 4-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 12 4 -
M. Kavanaugh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Shumpert 34 4-11 0-2 1-2 2 2 3 0 4 9 1 -
D. Favors 27 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 2 0 0 3 10 9 -
Z. Peacock 26 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 8 7 -
G. Lawal 24 4-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 8 9 0 -
D. Bell 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Udofia 23 1-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 5 3 -
M. Miller 20 3-5 0-1 4-8 4 1 3 0 1 10 12 -
B. Oliver 11 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
L. Storrs 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Sheehan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Rice Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Foreman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter