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2009-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Log Adjusted 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 38 5-12 1-1 3-4 5 4 0 0 6 14 5 -
B. Fields 37 7-15 2-5 6-9 4 1 0 0 0 22 12 -
L. Babbitt 36 2-11 0-0 10-10 10 1 1 0 3 14 12 -
J. Shaw 31 4-9 2-3 5-5 9 3 0 1 1 15 18 -
D. Hunt 23 1-3 0-0 0-3 6 0 1 2 1 2 7 -
R. Kraemer 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
M. Cukic 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Carp 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
L. Giles 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield 32 8-12 0-0 6-7 3 4 0 0 1 22 16 -
A. Marshall 23 3-10 0-3 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 6 5 -
J. Hawkins 22 5-10 1-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 13 12 -
C. Stanback 20 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 1 3 9 8 -
S. Jones Jr. 20 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 5 0 -
D. Jasper 19 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
B. Massamba 14 2-4 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 0 0 8 11 -
D. Santee 14 1-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
M. Shaw 13 2-3 0-0 1-3 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
T. Willis 13 2-6 0-1 4-4 4 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
K. Wallace 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
T. Norman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter