Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -13 (54-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Mack | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| G. Hayward | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Howard | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Nored | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Z. Hahn | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| W. Veasley | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Vanzant | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Jukes | 14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| G. Butcher | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Leiendecker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Stigall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 40 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Shurna | 38 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Nash | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Crawford | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Rowley | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Curletti | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter