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2009-11-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% -
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% -
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +16.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 25.0% 75.0% -
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Gurganious 33 4-6 1-1 4-9 5 5 1 1 2 13 17 -
K. Veteto 28 6-10 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 1 2 14 11 -
K. Austin 27 2-9 0-3 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
L. McMullan 22 3-6 2-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 5 9 2 -
D. Gordon 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -3 -
S. Cunningham 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
B. Dowdy 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
R. Meo 17 2-4 2-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
J. LoBue 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hampton 7 0-2 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Chavarria 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Smith 40 4-8 2-4 2-4 3 2 0 0 5 12 4 -
N. Vucevic 38 7-14 0-1 4-5 8 2 0 0 1 18 13 -
D. Lewis 35 7-14 3-5 5-6 5 3 0 0 3 22 13 -
E. Smith 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
M. Simmons 28 6-8 1-1 5-6 5 3 0 1 0 18 19 -
K. Cunningham 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
D. Rozitis 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter