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2009-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Utah Valley Wolverines Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“

Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners +7 (58-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Woods II 36 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 2 2 4 6 -
T. Petty 34 4-7 0-1 1-2 11 0 0 0 3 9 10 -
J. Baker 27 5-12 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 10 0 -
A. England 26 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 7 9 -
J. Scoubes 21 2-7 1-2 4-6 5 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Swarbrick 21 2-10 0-5 4-5 3 2 0 0 3 8 0 -
E. Dearden 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Fannon 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
N. Jenson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bragg 39 2-10 0-3 3-4 6 4 2 0 2 7 7 -
T. Blakley 36 8-17 1-8 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 18 4 -
S. Carter 33 1-8 1-2 4-5 4 4 1 2 2 7 8 -
S. Latunde 32 6-9 0-0 6-7 9 0 1 0 0 18 19 -
B. Emanuel 25 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 3 1 1 6 8 -
D. Johnson 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
G. DeLeon 9 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -2 -
M. Hall 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lara 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Albright 3 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter