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2009-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Xavier Musketeers Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.5 (30.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Xavier Musketeers +44 (101-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Thomas 31 6-11 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 13 11 -
D. Brown 28 3-8 3-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 9 5 -
J. Jakubowski 27 2-7 0-2 0-2 0 4 0 0 1 4 0 -
E. Marschall 21 0-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 1 -2 -
M. Larson 20 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 10 7 -
J. Crawford 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 2 5 -
O. Polk 18 5-10 0-0 1-3 1 2 0 0 2 11 2 -
D. McElroy 15 0-3 0-1 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
D. Goins 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
L. Kraus 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Calhoun 3 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Erger 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Karaffa 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 27 9-14 4-6 2-2 7 5 2 0 0 24 24 -
T. Holloway 25 3-4 2-3 4-4 5 3 0 0 1 12 15 -
M. Lyons 23 4-7 0-0 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 10 6 -
J. Love 23 4-7 0-0 4-7 12 0 0 0 1 12 16 -
D. Jackson 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 5 7 -
J. McLean 20 0-3 0-0 6-8 5 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
K. Frease 18 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 3 2 8 9 -
B. Redford 15 4-5 4-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
A. Taylor 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 0 3 8 -
J. Robinson 7 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
B. Walsh 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Hughes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Feeney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mazza 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter