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2009-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% -
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 (0.1 off)
Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -6 (59-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ladd 35 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 0 3 0 5 8 2 -
P. George 34 4-12 1-6 6-8 10 5 4 1 5 15 18 -
S. Seay 30 8-13 1-4 5-8 6 0 2 2 1 22 18 -
B. Sperling 29 1-6 0-2 1-2 5 3 2 0 3 3 4 -
G. Smith 23 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 7 9 -
N. Golubovic 23 2-5 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
S. Shepp 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 3 3 -
G. Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 34 9-15 1-1 4-6 4 1 1 0 4 23 10 -
G. Rogers 27 5-11 3-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 13 6 -
N. Larson 25 1-5 1-2 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 5 4 -
J. Olubuyi 24 0-2 0-0 1-4 2 8 0 0 1 1 8 -
E. Platt 24 3-10 2-5 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 10 3 -
S. Johannsen 21 1-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 0 1 5 6 -
J. Lepley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 5 0 2 -
D. Jones 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
S. Saldivar 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter