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2009-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 1.6% 98.4% -
Bradley-Terry 6.3% 93.7% -
Margin 1.6% 98.4% +22.8 (19.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +42 (101-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Spears 26 6-16 1-3 7-8 4 1 1 0 3 20 7 -
D. Green 25 2-8 0-4 0-2 1 2 2 0 2 4 -1 -
D. Harris 23 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 0 3 3 3 -
R. Coleman 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Braswell 18 3-5 0-0 0-1 9 0 0 0 3 6 7 -
P. Jones 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 3 0 -
K.J. Sherrill 16 0-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
I. Andersen 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
S. Bowden 14 1-6 1-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
C. Dewhurst 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Sirin 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
K. Church 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Barnett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Lewis 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Parks 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith 32 9-15 2-3 4-4 5 5 2 0 3 24 18 -
J. Scheyer 29 7-13 4-7 2-4 6 5 2 1 0 20 21 -
K. Singler 26 5-12 3-4 4-6 3 2 0 1 1 17 10 -
M. Plumlee 24 7-11 0-0 1-2 11 2 2 1 2 15 18 -
A. Dawkins 21 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
R. Kelly 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 5 7 -
L. Thomas 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 2 -
B. Zoubek 16 4-7 0-0 1-4 13 1 1 0 1 9 16 -
O. Czyz 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Davidson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter