Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouldin | 39 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| S. Gray | 38 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| E. Harris | 31 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| D. Goodson | 27 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| R. Sacre | 19 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Olynyk | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| G.J. Vilarino | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Foster | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Arop | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Poling | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| D. Summers | 32 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| C. Allen | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| D. Nix | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Lucious | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Roe | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sherman | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter