Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +30 (96-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nobles | 40 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| R. Clarke | 38 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Powell | 35 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Farmer | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| M. Washington | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -2 | - |
| D. Johnson | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Mitchell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Cox | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Samuels | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| E. Sosa | 26 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Delk | 22 | 8-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| P. Knowles | 19 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Siva | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Kuric | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Jennings | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Buckles | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Marra | 7 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Brickley | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter