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2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 13.3% 86.7% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% -
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% -
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hill 29 2-7 2-7 1-2 3 0 2 0 5 7 0 -
L. Daniel 29 4-9 0-0 3-7 8 1 2 0 0 11 13 -
K. Menner 24 3-14 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 8 -3 -
K. Daniels 23 4-11 1-5 5-5 4 2 0 0 4 14 5 -
V. Cordell 17 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
W. Galick 15 1-2 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
T. Taylor 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 2 -1 -
R. Cody 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 2 3 -
D. Lyles 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
M. Lizarraga 10 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
V. McGhee 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Tripp 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
T. Osunsanmi 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ruzgas 31 8-16 5-10 3-3 4 1 3 0 1 24 15 -
K. Butler 31 2-3 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 3 1 6 16 -
K. Mitchem 30 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 12 5 -
Z. Buljan 27 5-12 2-5 2-2 17 3 0 0 5 14 17 -
R. Moss 24 5-11 2-6 5-7 2 5 1 0 6 17 8 -
X. Roberson 15 1-2 1-1 3-4 1 2 1 0 3 6 5 -
N. Cerina 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
G. Green 14 1-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
G. Hill 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
L. Lancon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Bavcevic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter