Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 36 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -1 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 36 | 9-15 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| E. Ross | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Knox | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Lett | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Malone | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| J. Wallace | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mallett | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| K. Weems | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A. Leonard | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. McFarland | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Jehle | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Pickens | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| I. Rhine | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Patterson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Ricks | 8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter