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2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Missouri State Bears Spread Result
Elo 93.7% 6.3% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 (13.3 off)
Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: Missouri State Bears +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 36 5-12 0-3 2-5 1 3 2 0 7 12 -1 -
L. Hargrove 36 9-15 3-8 3-5 6 4 2 0 2 24 19 -
F. Sullivan 30 1-7 1-5 6-6 2 0 1 0 4 9 1 -
E. Ross 25 3-9 1-5 0-0 5 1 5 0 3 7 6 -
B. Knox 18 2-3 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 2 4 5 6 -
J. Lett 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Malone 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
K. Gabriel 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
T. Armstrong 8 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
J. Wallace 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Neysmith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mallett 33 3-6 1-2 5-5 8 6 0 0 4 12 16 -
K. Weems 29 4-11 1-6 4-6 7 1 2 2 1 13 13 -
A. Leonard 27 5-8 4-7 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 14 15 -
C. McFarland 24 2-8 0-2 3-3 4 2 2 0 3 7 4 -
R. Jehle 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 5 -
W. Creekmore 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 4 1 -
K. Pickens 15 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -
I. Rhine 13 4-6 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
C. Patterson 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Ricks 8 1-5 0-1 1-2 0 3 1 0 2 3 0 -
J. Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter