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2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 84.2% 15.8% -
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% -
Margin 68.9% 31.1% -4.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.3% 36.7% -
Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% -
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -12 (68-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sloan 34 7-12 3-5 7-9 3 4 0 0 2 24 17 -
D. Roland 30 6-12 1-3 8-8 3 2 1 2 0 21 17 -
D. Harris 29 0-2 0-1 3-6 3 2 2 0 0 3 8 -
D. Loubeau 23 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
B.J. Holmes 21 3-10 3-10 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
B. Davis 19 4-8 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 1 4 9 6 -
N. Walkup 19 1-1 1-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 5 10 -
K. Middleton 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
N. Hibbert 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Faye 34 8-11 3-3 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 21 16 -
P. McCoy 34 8-17 2-6 2-3 3 2 0 0 3 20 5 -
D. Williams 34 3-9 0-4 2-5 1 3 1 0 1 8 3 -
P. Dia 28 5-11 0-0 3-4 5 2 2 1 2 13 10 -
R. Harp 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
F. Otis 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Haynes 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
R. Clinkscales 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Walker 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Luttman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter