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2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 1.9% 98.1% -
Margin 0.3% 99.7% +32.9 (16.9 off)

Actual: Baylor Bears +16 (61-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Doggett 29 2-3 0-0 1-3 6 0 2 1 1 5 10 -
N. Walls 29 3-7 0-1 3-4 4 4 0 0 5 9 5 -
H. Dixon 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
E. Jones 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 1 -
N. Nixon Jr. 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
M. Bol 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
J. Grace 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -
J. Ingram 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Williams 11 3-7 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
B. Sanford 10 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
D. Miles 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. McGilveary 8 3-6 2-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
B. White 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Lee 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Walton 32 4-6 1-2 0-2 6 2 5 0 5 9 11 -
E. Udoh 30 4-9 0-1 3-6 6 1 1 2 2 11 10 -
L. Dunn 29 3-13 2-10 5-5 2 4 1 0 0 13 7 -
A. Jones 25 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 6 8 -
Q. Acy 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
N. Dennis 17 1-4 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
J. Lomers 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
F. Ellis 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
C. Jefferson 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Sekelja 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
G. Crump 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
O. Griffin 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter