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2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 0.3% 99.7% +38.8 โœ“ (22.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 1.3% 98.7% - โœ“
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +42.0 โœ“ (26.0 off)
Pythagorean 7.4% 92.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +16 (61-45). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinton Doggett * 29 2-3 0-0 1-3 6 0 2 1 1 5 10 -
Nick Walls * 29 3-7 0-1 3-4 4 4 0 0 5 9 5 -
Earnest Jones * 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 1 -
Norm Nixon Jr. * 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 6 5 -
Julius Ingram * 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Horace Dixon 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Madut Bol 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
Jameel Grace 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Jazz Williams 11 3-7 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
Blake Sanford 10 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
DeSean Miles 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Tony McGilveary 8 3-6 2-5 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Brandon White 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Bobby Lee 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Walton * 32 4-6 1-2 0-2 6 2 5 0 5 9 11 -
Ekpe Udoh * 30 4-9 0-1 3-6 6 1 1 2 2 11 10 -
LaceDarius Dunn * 29 3-13 2-10 5-5 2 4 1 0 0 13 7 -
Anthony Jones * 25 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 6 8 -
Josh Lomers * 17 1-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
Quincy Acy 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
Nolan Dennis 17 1-4 0-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
Fred Ellis 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
Cory Jefferson 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Dragan Sekelja 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Givon Crump 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Oscar Griffin 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter