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2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - โœ—
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +11 (56-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Marshall 37 3-10 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 7 3 -
J. Kelly 32 2-8 0-1 4-5 2 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
C. Richard 27 0-8 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
D. Lathan 26 3-3 1-1 5-6 3 0 0 0 3 12 9 -
R. Reed 21 1-5 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
K. Doluony 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
J. Crawford 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Printy 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Leitnaker 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 3 4 3 -
I. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Spencer 40 4-20 0-5 2-4 2 3 0 0 1 10 -6 -
T. Mitchell 39 2-11 0-4 4-4 14 1 2 1 3 8 12 -
S. Warren 25 6-8 0-0 2-2 12 0 1 2 1 14 20 -
C. Bass 23 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Harris 21 5-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
A. Dotson 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
G. Green 13 1-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Z. Kinsley 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
E. Ludwig 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter