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Albany Great Danes 51
@
American University Eagles 50
2009-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✗
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 ✗ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - ✗

Actual: American University Eagles -1 (50-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ambrose 35 5-15 0-2 4-5 4 5 2 0 2 14 8 -
M. Johnson 33 3-6 1-3 0-2 2 2 3 0 3 7 5 -
B. Gifford 32 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 3 -
W. Harris 30 4-12 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 9 6 -
S. McRae 28 6-8 2-2 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 14 13 -
J. Lindfors 14 1-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Aronhalt 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
M. Black 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Metcalf 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Tartt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hendra 33 1-9 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 3 0 -
S. Lumpkins 31 6-12 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 0 12 11 -
S. McCormack 30 4-9 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 1 10 8 -
D. Munoz 27 3-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
R. Grafft 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
S. Luptak 24 1-6 0-5 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 4 2 -
B. Jolivette 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
M. Bersch 13 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
D. Fisher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter