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2009-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 4.1% 95.9% -
Bradley-Terry 7.7% 92.3% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +20.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Donahue 33 4-6 0-0 2-6 12 0 1 1 1 10 17 -
J. Brown 32 3-8 1-3 4-5 3 1 1 0 2 11 6 -
D. Hanson 31 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Lewis 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
L. Keeler 25 4-8 1-2 6-8 2 0 0 0 5 15 4 -
S. Lewis 21 3-9 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
W. Taylor 12 2-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 3 6 4 -
C. Anderson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
D. Royer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Odister 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Shiller 29 4-8 3-4 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 11 11 -
J. Mann 28 4-5 1-1 1-2 1 5 1 0 1 10 11 -
L. Fields 25 7-16 2-3 6-9 7 0 0 2 2 22 13 -
J. Green 24 1-9 1-6 2-4 5 1 2 0 1 5 3 -
A. Zimmermann 24 0-4 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
D. Dildy 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 1 4 3 -
J. Trotter 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 10 7 -
M. Daian 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Bullock 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Igbinosa 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
G. Harris 4 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
P. Abraham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Ebersole 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter