Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Stanford Cardinal | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stanford Cardinal +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Donahue | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| J. Brown | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Hanson | 31 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Lewis | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Keeler | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| W. Taylor | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Royer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Odister | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Stanford Cardinal
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shiller | 29 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Mann | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Fields | 25 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| J. Green | 24 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Zimmermann | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dildy | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Trotter | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Daian | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Bullock | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Igbinosa | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Harris | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Abraham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ebersole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter