Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 28 | 12-16 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 11 | - |
| E. Platt | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Rogers | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Lepley | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Jones | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Larson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Wallace | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horne | 28 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| B. Lavender | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Wise | 26 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| S. Hill | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Fogg | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| L. Jones | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. Williams | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| G. Judkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Shumpert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter