🐻⬇️🏀

@
2009-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 0.3% 99.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.8% 42.2% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% -
Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.3% 97.7% -
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 28 12-16 2-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 5 29 11 -
E. Platt 27 3-8 2-5 1-1 7 3 1 1 2 9 11 -
J. Olubuyi 26 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
G. Rogers 25 4-7 1-2 2-2 0 3 2 0 0 11 9 -
J. Lepley 24 4-10 0-0 0-3 3 0 0 1 1 8 1 -
D. Jones 22 1-5 0-1 4-4 4 3 2 0 2 6 8 -
S. Johannsen 16 3-7 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 1 7 9 -
S. Saldivar 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
N. Larson 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Wallace 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horne 28 6-12 0-3 2-3 11 1 1 3 0 14 18 -
B. Lavender 28 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 3 -
N. Wise 26 7-12 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 15 6 -
S. Hill 25 5-9 0-2 7-9 8 2 0 0 1 17 17 -
K. Fogg 24 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 0 2 1 2 10 5 -
K. Natyazhko 23 1-2 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 1 0 7 13 -
L. Jones 23 4-9 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 8 0 -
D. Williams 17 1-3 0-0 6-9 4 2 0 1 0 8 12 -
G. Judkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
D.J. Shumpert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter