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2009-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% -
Margin 13.0% 87.0% +10.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% -
Log Adjusted 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 39 4-13 2-8 2-2 4 1 1 1 7 12 -1 -
A. Nigon 30 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 5 0 0 5 3 -1 -
A. Ogide 29 8-14 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 17 7 -
T. Franklin 28 3-10 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 2 3 8 6 -
A. McFarland 28 2-6 2-4 2-3 4 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
H. Perry 25 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -3 -
P. Hornung 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 2 8 -
M. Annese 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Catron 30 1-4 0-1 8-10 9 0 1 1 2 10 15 -
T. Porter 28 8-17 5-10 2-2 1 3 3 0 3 23 10 -
M. Armstead 27 3-7 0-2 2-4 3 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
L. Longmire 27 5-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 11 8 -
T. Williams 26 4-7 1-2 2-3 3 4 0 0 2 11 9 -
J. Wilson 23 1-5 0-1 0-0 9 0 0 2 4 2 4 -
G. Sim 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Dunigan 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 2 1 0 4 -
J. Jacob 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Singler 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Humphrey 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter