Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.6% | 82.4% | +8.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Johnson | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Rush | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Anderson | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Howard | 30 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| B. Louff | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Brown | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Henderson | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 36 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | - |
| A. Johnson | 32 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Shaw | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Fields | 29 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| D. Hunt | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Cukic | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Giles | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Fuetsch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter