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2009-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Kent State Golden Flashes Spread Result
Elo 28.6% 71.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 โœ— (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 20.5% 79.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - โœ—

Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Cotton 42 9-15 6-10 1-1 4 0 2 0 1 25 15 -
R. Fletcher 41 8-14 0-1 1-4 2 7 2 0 4 17 10 -
B. Perine 38 8-16 2-3 2-3 2 4 2 1 2 20 11 -
P. Nelson 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
C. Barkley 23 1-4 0-1 4-4 8 2 0 0 2 6 10 -
R. Berry 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 -1 -
M. Smith 18 2-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
S. Evans 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
G. LeSage 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Evans 37 6-11 5-8 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 19 8 -
J. Greene 34 7-11 0-0 6-9 6 4 2 3 1 20 23 -
R. Sherman 30 8-19 0-1 2-3 6 4 0 1 2 18 8 -
C. Singletary 27 4-9 1-2 3-3 6 2 1 1 3 12 10 -
M. McKee 25 1-7 1-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
F. Henry-Ala 23 1-3 0-2 3-4 4 0 2 0 0 5 8 -
R. Holt 17 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 4 5 -
B. Parks 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
A. Simpson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
I. Pinckney 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter