Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.5% | 2.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.8% | 10.2% | -11.9 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hines | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Burke | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Byrd | 0 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Rainey | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| K. Ross | 0 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| C. Nance | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| P. Lalor | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter