Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +22 (73-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Massey | 34 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Friel | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Baker | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Nielson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Weirick | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Hodgson | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Bachynski | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| R. Brimley | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Heuir | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -5 | - |
| D. Allen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Figures | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 28 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 27 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Kaba | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Kingman | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Brereton | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Proctor | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Osborne | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Arnold | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter