Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood | 34 | 12-19 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 13 | - |
| B. McPherson | 31 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| C. Johnson | 29 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Kenney | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Rogers | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Witt | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| H. Little | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Broekhoff | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Kurth | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Buggs | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Milosevic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| L. Drew II | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Davis | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| W. Graves | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Zeller | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| D. Strickland | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Wear | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Watts | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Henson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. McDonald | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Wear | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter