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2009-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 31.3% 68.7% +4.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.3% 71.7% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Teel 38 4-8 0-0 2-4 7 7 0 1 6 10 11 -
D. Viney 36 8-13 4-5 2-3 7 0 1 0 2 22 15 -
L. Davis 36 8-16 0-1 3-7 11 1 2 0 6 19 11 -
J. DuBois 31 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 -6 -
E. Garibay 26 3-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 3 0 6 7 -
K. Young 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 0 3 -
T. Diederichs 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
L. Armstead 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 38 7-9 4-5 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 22 18 -
R. Staudacher 27 2-10 1-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 -3 -
B. Qvale 22 6-9 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 2 0 16 14 -
J. McGillis 21 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
R. Young 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
W. Cherry 20 2-6 0-1 2-5 2 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
D. Selvig 19 0-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Stockton 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Banny 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
M. Ward 5 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

* = starter