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2009-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (6.4 off)
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Montgomery 31 7-11 3-4 3-4 1 3 2 0 2 20 13 -
J. Davis 30 6-11 5-7 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 19 13 -
A. King 28 3-6 1-4 3-3 3 4 1 0 2 10 10 -
B. Friday 25 1-3 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 4 3 -
J. Bedwell 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 0 5 -
J. Merritt 22 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
J. Peterson 14 2-2 1-1 2-7 1 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Johnson 13 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
M. Friday 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Cotton 37 6-11 4-7 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 16 13 -
B. Perine 35 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 8 7 -
C. Barkley 27 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 6 5 -
S. Evans 26 3-4 3-4 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
R. Berry 25 4-5 0-0 0-1 9 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
R. Fletcher 22 9-13 3-5 1-1 2 3 1 0 1 22 14 -
P. Nelson 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
M. Smith 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. LeSage 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Snyder 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter