Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +31 (95-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Malik | 34 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Harden | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Payne | 31 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Welch | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Howley | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Calegari | 19 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Floyd | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Silva | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Medlock | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 25 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Porter | 25 | 10-15 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15 | - |
| M. Armstead | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| J. Catron | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Wilson | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| L. Longmire | 20 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| G. Sim | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E.J. Singler | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jacob | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Wiley | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Crittle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter