Model Predictions
| Model | Creighton Bluejays | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Korver | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Stinnett | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| D. Ashford | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Witter | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| W. Runnels | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| A. Young | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Wragge | 13 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Bock | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wright | 30 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - |
| M. Johnson | 29 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Johnson | 27 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| D. Searcy | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Warren | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | - |
| M. Perry | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. Williams | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 15 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Benson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter