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2009-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 26.3% 73.7% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Korver 28 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
P. Stinnett 28 5-11 3-7 5-5 4 2 3 1 3 18 14 -
D. Ashford 26 5-8 1-2 2-3 2 0 1 0 3 13 5 -
C. Witter 26 4-11 0-2 3-4 3 4 2 0 3 11 6 -
W. Runnels 21 6-7 0-0 4-6 9 2 0 0 0 16 20 -
A. Young 19 0-3 0-1 0-1 2 4 0 0 1 0 2 -
K. Lawson Jr. 18 3-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 2 2 8 8 -
J. Jones 16 0-5 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Wragge 13 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
A. Bock 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 30 9-12 2-2 5-7 8 1 0 2 0 25 24 -
M. Johnson 29 6-13 0-4 1-3 3 3 1 0 1 13 6 -
C. Johnson 27 7-15 3-9 1-2 15 2 0 1 1 18 20 -
D. Searcy 23 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
L. Warren 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 8 1 0 4 4 12 -
M. Perry 20 1-7 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 1 3 4 0 -
P. Williams 20 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
L. Fabrizius 15 3-10 3-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 0 -
K. Huelsman 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Benson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter