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2009-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 74.6% 25.4% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Log Adjusted 94.7% 5.3% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stohl 31 1-3 1-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
N. Raivio 29 4-9 1-2 7-11 9 1 0 0 4 16 13 -
T.J. Campbell 28 4-6 4-6 3-4 1 4 0 0 3 15 11 -
L. Sikma 27 5-6 0-0 3-4 14 3 2 1 3 13 24 -
R. Smeulders 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 2 6 -
E. Niedermeyer 21 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Knutson 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
T. Ito 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
J. Hannibal 8 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
N. Mitrovic 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Waterford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dean 37 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 5 1 0 3 9 5 -
B. Moore 34 4-8 0-0 6-10 6 0 1 0 2 14 11 -
B. Valentine 26 4-12 3-6 9-11 3 3 1 0 0 20 15 -
M. Brunell 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 3 3 -
M. Dunn 21 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Gibbs 19 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 4 0 1 2 8 -
J. Forbes 19 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 2 2 0 1 2 2 -
K. Winford 19 2-5 0-3 1-1 0 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
L. Griffin 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter