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2009-11-14

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.3% 94.7% - โœ“
Margin 2.7% 97.3% +19.6 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gordon * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 12 -
K. Austin * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 8 12 -
S. Cunningham * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 11 17 -
B. Dowdy 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
J. LoBue 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Chavarria 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
R. Meo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
N. Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Chadwick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hobson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 1 1 1 16 30 -
A.J. Hardeman * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 3 0 14 25 -
R. Martinez * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 1 0 18 24 -
D. Gary * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 0 8 -
P. McDonald * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
W. Brown 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
N. Garth 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 0 7 -
J. Fenton 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 13 -

* = starter