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2009-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% -
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 14.9% 85.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Log Adjusted 2.1% 97.9% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +13 (95-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Anderson 39 6-12 0-2 4-4 4 5 1 0 2 16 12 -
A. Thomas 31 3-6 0-1 1-1 1 3 0 0 3 7 2 -
I. Okoye 28 7-12 0-0 6-7 9 0 2 0 1 20 18 -
P. Noonan 27 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
D. Montreal 26 1-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
R. Arnold 26 2-9 0-3 4-6 3 2 2 2 1 8 7 -
K. Cunningham 13 4-6 0-0 5-7 0 1 0 0 3 13 5 -
Z. Moritz 9 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
J. Salzwedel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 37 5-14 1-4 14-14 4 5 1 0 4 25 17 -
J. McGillis 32 7-12 1-3 0-1 7 3 2 0 3 15 12 -
R. Young 31 8-14 6-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 22 12 -
R. Staudacher 30 4-6 3-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 11 10 -
B. Qvale 23 5-6 0-0 2-4 8 0 0 3 0 12 17 -
D. Selvig 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 7 8 -
M. Ward 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
W. Cherry 8 0-2 0-0 1-4 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -
V. Banny 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Stockton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter