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2009-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 82.0% 18.0% -
Margin 99.9% 0.1% -40.9 (51.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Log Adjusted 16.9% 83.1% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Keeler 33 0-5 0-2 5-6 2 2 1 0 2 5 3 -
W. Donahue 31 1-4 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
D. Hanson 24 3-5 0-1 3-3 6 0 0 0 3 9 7 -
S. Lewis 21 1-4 0-1 2-4 4 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
J. Lewis 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 10 2 -
W. Taylor 18 3-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 0 9 4 -
K. Odister 16 2-6 2-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 2 -
C. Anderson 16 1-7 0-2 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 5 -1 -
J. Brown 15 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
R. Darling 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Eisenhardt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 34 6-12 2-5 8-9 6 0 2 2 0 22 20 -
A. Caloiaro 29 5-8 2-3 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 15 13 -
D. Bryant 29 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 5 6 5 -
K. Vaughn 28 6-12 1-3 2-3 7 3 0 0 3 15 10 -
P. Blackwell 23 2-3 0-0 4-5 7 4 1 0 0 8 17 -
R. Green 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 3 0 -
B. Wallace 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
T. Bruha 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
P. Smith 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Williams 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
N. Stojiljkovic 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
M. Diarra 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter