Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 99.9% | 0.1% | -40.9 | ✗ (51.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Keeler | 33 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| W. Donahue | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Hanson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Lewis | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Lewis | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| W. Taylor | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Odister | 16 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Brown | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Darling | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Eisenhardt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lowhorn | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 29 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Bryant | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P. Blackwell | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| R. Green | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Wallace | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Bruha | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Stojiljkovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Diarra | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter