Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.5% | 2.5% | -20.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wright | 0 | 5-19 | -2 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 |
| S. Egwu | 0 | - | - | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | ||||
| C. Shine | 0 | 6-10 | - | -2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | |
| C. Crosby | 0 | 4-12 | 1-7 | - | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | |
| W. Edwards | 0 | 4-8 | 3-5 | - | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Colabella | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 9 | |
| C. Cassidy | 0 | 2-17 | 2-10 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -5 | ||
| T. Obajolu | 0 | 2-2 | - | -3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | ||
| Player #11193 | 0 | -4 | - | - | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | ||
| M. Kurowski | 0 | 7-13 | -3 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 13 |
* = starter