Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.2% | 28.8% | -5.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jefferson | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Washington | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. DeHaan | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Thomas | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Lalor | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Ross | 0 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| C. Nance | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
* = starter