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2009-11-13

Model Predictions

Model UNC Wilmington Seahawks Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (7.5 off)
Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% -

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wolf 32 3-9 0-4 5-6 4 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
J. Fields 26 9-14 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 4 4 21 14 -
A. Grant 24 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
D. Felder 20 2-9 2-5 6-6 2 5 1 0 1 12 10 -
D. Jeralds 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 0 -
K. Rendleman 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
W. Ohuaregbe 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
D. Lacy 14 3-7 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
M. Downey 14 1-5 0-3 2-3 6 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Deloach 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
M. Wilson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
J. Basnight 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Sheets 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brand 39 3-7 0-0 14-14 3 2 1 0 4 20 15 -
D. Sims 36 4-9 1-3 9-10 1 1 2 0 5 18 8 -
R. Abraham 21 2-3 1-1 4-6 3 4 3 1 2 9 15 -
I. Butts 20 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 2 12 12 -
J. Hunter 19 2-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Wright 19 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
A. Williamson 18 0-5 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 5 0 2 8 -
T. Webb 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
N. Healy 9 1-1 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Booth 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
A.J. Highsmith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter