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2009-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 1.3% 98.7% -
Bradley-Terry 8.8% 91.2% -
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.2 (18.8 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +39 (97-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Baker 30 2-10 1-4 4-6 3 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
K. Marks 24 2-4 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 3 4 5 -
H. Miller 22 0-5 0-4 2-4 0 2 2 0 4 2 -3 -
C. Lytle 21 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 5 -1 -
A. Banks 20 4-7 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
D. O'Neil 17 3-7 0-0 1-4 5 4 2 0 2 7 9 -
R. Chambers 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 5 -2 -
E. Murray 16 2-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
S. Brown 14 2-4 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
C. Lutkenhaus 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
E. Rolax 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Williams 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Allen 26 3-8 1-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 0 10 10 -
D. Summers 25 6-12 1-4 4-4 4 1 0 0 3 17 7 -
K. Lucas 25 5-9 2-5 9-11 1 1 3 0 3 21 14 -
K. Lucious 23 4-10 3-7 0-0 1 8 2 1 1 11 12 -
D. Green 23 4-7 0-0 3-3 10 3 1 1 2 11 17 -
D. Nix 15 5-7 0-0 1-5 14 0 0 0 0 11 18 -
G. Sherman 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
D. Roe 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
R. Morgan 9 0-4 0-0 0-4 1 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
I. Dahlman 9 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
A. Thornton 7 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Herzog 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Kebler 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Crandell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter