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2009-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 15.6% 84.4% -
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 1.6% 98.4% -
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles +31 (89-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Trotter 31 4-12 0-1 2-3 2 2 0 0 2 10 0 -
M. Sanders 28 4-13 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 8 -1 -
J. Riddle 25 3-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 9 8 -
D. Rufful 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 3 2 4 0 3 9 7 -
C. Weeden 16 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 -
J. Mathis 14 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Dixon 13 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
M. LaBove 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
H. Kouna 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Pride 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
R.J. Griffin 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
K. Crecco 5 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
G. Brown 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Ghogomu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Jackson 38 5-7 2-3 4-4 6 4 0 0 4 16 15 -
T. Roche 38 10-12 4-5 6-9 3 2 1 5 1 30 28 -
B. Paris 33 3-3 0-0 0-2 3 7 2 0 6 6 9 -
D. Elmore 25 2-5 0-0 6-6 6 1 1 3 4 10 12 -
J. Trapani 22 5-14 0-3 1-3 6 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
J. Southern 21 3-3 0-0 3-5 5 2 0 0 2 9 11 -
E. Ravenel 19 2-4 0-0 3-3 4 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
P. Rehnquist 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Mosakowski 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter