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2009-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Margin 7.9% 92.1% +13.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +17 (65-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Massey * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 1 2 9 20 -
S. Friel * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 9 -
J. Nielson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 8 12 -
D. Allen 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 3 5 -
M. Hodgson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 5 6 6 -
D. Heuir 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Weirick 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Flemings * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 1 5 23 33 -
P. Balocka * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 0 1 7 21 -
D. Williams * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 16 16 -
H. Thompson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 0 4 14 -
P. Campbell * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 4 1 0 9 -
J. Lay 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 11 17 -
A. Mayen 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 8 -
B. Adams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter