Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +18 (91-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 35 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| J. Harden | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Malik | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Calegari | 18 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Welch | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| R. Howley | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Floyd | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Medlock | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Silva | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 34 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Ogide | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| A. Nigon | 31 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Hornung | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| H. Perry | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. McFarland | 23 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Franklin | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. Dunn | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Annese | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter