Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 36 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| L. Leslie | 36 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| C. Parker | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Lennox | 28 | 4-15 | 3-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Quinn | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Harrower | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Johnson | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| L. Willingham | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 25 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| P. Taylor | 24 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter